Empirical Game-Theoretic Analysis of the TAC Market Games

نویسندگان

  • Michael P. Wellman
  • Patrick R. Jordan
  • Christopher Kiekintveld
  • Jason Miller
  • Daniel M. Reeves
چکیده

ABSTRACT We illustrate developing techniques for empirical game-theoretic analysis by application to two challenging market games employed in an annual Trading Agent Competition. These games exemplify relevant environments beyond analytic tractability, yet which can be investigated experimentally through simulation and careful measurement. Our analysis of agents from the 2005 TAC Supply Chain Management game reveals interesting interactions not seen in the tournament, and demonstrates the value of a post-competition agent repository. Our ongoing analysis of the TAC Travel game illustrates methods for scaling up the strategy and profile space, and demonstrates the value of empirical game-theoretic analysis for strategy selection. Interesting open issues remain, particularly in regard to controlling the experimental search process.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

A game Theoretic Approach to Pricing, Advertising and Collection Decisions adjustment in a closed-loop supply chain

This paper considers advertising, collection and pricing decisions simultaneously for a closed-loop supplychain(CLSC) with one manufacturer(he) and two retailers(she). A multiplicatively separable new demand function is proposed which influenced by pricing and advertising. In this paper, three well-known scenarios in the game theory including the Nash, Stackelberg and Cooperative games are expl...

متن کامل

Combination of real options and game-theoretic approach in investment analysis

Investments in technology create a large amount of capital investments by major companies. Assessing such investment projects is identified as critical to the efficient assignment of resources. Viewing investment projects as real options, this paper expands a method for assessing technology investment decisions in the linkage existence of uncertainty and competition. It combines the game-theore...

متن کامل

Searching for Walverine 2005

We systematically explore a range of variations of our TAC travelshopping agent, Walverine. The space of strategies is defined by settings to behavioral parameter values. Our empirical game-theoretic analysis is facilitated by approximating games through hierarchical reduction methods. This approach generated a small set of candidates for the version to run in the TAC-05 tournament. We selected...

متن کامل

An Empirical Game-Theoretic Analysis of Price Discovery in Prediction Markets

In this paper, we employ simulation-based methods to study the role of a market maker in improving price discovery in a prediction market. In our model, traders receive a lagged signal of a ground truth, which is based on real price data from prediction markets on NBA games in the 2014–2015 season. We employ empirical game-theoretic analysis to identify equilibria under different settings of ma...

متن کامل

A game theory approach to the Iranian forest industry raw material market

Dynamic game theory is applied to analyze the timber market in northern Iran as a duopsony. The Nash equilibrium and the dynamic properties of the system based on marginal adjustments are determined. When timber is sold, the different mills use mixed strategies to give sealed bids. It is found that the decision probability combination of the different mills follow a special form of attractor an...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2006